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Detailed Runner By Runner Full Meeting Analysis

Next Meeting
Caulfield Blue Diamond Day
February 21
NOW POSTED

Sizzlers Recent Winners

    Cinsault
    Randwick
    Jan 24, 2026

    The 1.2 length winner of Race 4

    -1.1 length below benchmark ranked 11th on the day

    Summary

    Brought up her 2nd win in three runs for the new stable, and while below her best of the night +0.4 win first up at Canterbury, she relaxed better at 1400 than this track/distance 3 weeks earlier when 4th. There she went +2.2 lengths above benchmark at the 800, while here -2.4 despite settling closer in the run. That 4.6 lengths of "stored energy" held her in good stead closing with +0.9 and +1.0 last two section which included a minor length slowdown from the 600 to 200. She picked that up again over the last 200 in a nice sign of tenacity. This is just BM72 company and she can keep working through the grades.

    Subsequently: Winner Randwick 07/02. Winner Rosehill 21/02

    Ninja
    Eagle Farm
    Jan 3, 2026

    The 4.8 length winner of Race 7

    +0.2 lengths above benchmark ranked 2nd on the day

    Summary

    Elevated from his PB first up when -0.1 lengths below benchmark at Doomben and 3rd, but this was a domination which screamed he's an emerging horse of serious promise. -1.4 at the 800 had him tagging the lead 7.5 lengths. Produced an excellent 6 length squeeze given the high pressure with +4.4 in the mid race, before +0.1 last 400 with rider Berry "shutting him down" late. First up in traffic he close with a booming +7.1 best last 600 and 400 of the day showing his turn of foot capacity. Should take obvious beating at the Gold Coast over 1400 in his target race Magic Millions Day.

    Subsequently: 2nd Magic Millions Day 17/01 then winner Rosehill 21/02

    Sheza Alibi
    Caulfield
    Nov 15, 2025

    The 5.8 length winner of Race 7

    -0.1 length below benchmark ranked 10th on the day

    Summary

    A Sandown Guineas demolition justifying her deep odds on quote, and it was a "bludge". Just -16.3 lengths below benchmark at the 800 sitting 2nd line, before -6.0 in the mid race. However when clear at the top of the straight produced and outstanding +9.7 last 400. Regardless of the lack of early exertion, to close with the best last 400 and 200 of the day at the end of a mile is "serious" closing speed. This is a new level in her first prep with Moody Coleman, and she looks a weapon in stakes races next time in. We look forward to measuring her progress and seeing how she copes with a fast tempo race shape.

    Subsequently: Spelled and winner Caulfield 21/02

    Streisand
    Caulfield
    Jan 24, 2026

    The 2.2 length 5th in Race 3

    -4.6 lengths below benchmark ranked 50th on the day

    Summary

    We put this down to a combination of "kick off run" and "goals ahead" having already qualified for the Blue Diamon with stakes prizemoney in the spring. Settled at the rear of the field settling going just -3.7, but then slowed further as the "anchors" went on up front going -7.1. Her last 400 though was "serious" with +5.0 and +3.8 of that just the last 200. Further context via the 9th best last 600, the 2nd best last 400 and the best last 200 of the day. This sets her up to run very well in the Prelude over 1100 in a fortnight.

    Subsequently: Winner Blue Diamond Prelude Caulfield 07/02 Winner Blue Diamond 21/02

    Pericles
    Randwick
    Sep 6, 2025

    The 1.2 length winner of Race 9

    +1.4 lengths above benchmark ranked 5th on the day

    Summary

    High quality 6yo miler type who came to play in his first run for Bjorn Baker ex-James Cummings. -2.9 at the 800 and in the mid race stalking the lead meant a perfect race shape before letting down with +4.4 last 400 which was the 12th best last 400 of the day at the end of 1400 metres. He is a rock solid +2.6 to +3.6 range performer when fit and at his best, and that says he's likely to be very competitive in anything. Possibly an Epsom from here where he's likely to be good odds with his high handicap rating?

    REPOST: First up next prep Group 1 Futurity winner Caulfield 21/02

    Tropicus
    Caulfield
    Aug 30, 2025

    The 2.3 length winner of Race 7

    +0.8 lengths above benchmark ranked 4th on the day

    Summary

    Big return! A brand new PB from -0.2 when winning here against 3yo's Blue Diamond day 1200, and 3 lengths better than his first up run Sandown 25/01 prior to that. +1.5 and +2.7 leading throughout first two wind assisted sections, before a complete tank out -3.7 last 400. In different tempo races shapes he has 3 lasts 400 splits between +4.7 and +6.7 showing he has tactical versatility. Looks a "real" a Manikato chance, or elsewhere in the "Non-Everest" elite sprints, as he fits the bill of a slow maturing stallion now putting it together.

    REPOST: First up next prep Oakleigh Plate winner 21/02

    True to Form
    Caulfield
    Jul 12, 2025

    The 1.3 length 2nd in Race 6

    -2.9 lengths below benchmark ranked 18th on the day

    Summary

    Ready! Came off a 2nd up soft tempo and track "float" up the straight 2nd up 5 weeks earlier, to here "having a race" stepping from 1200 to 1400. -2.8 at the 800 stalking the lead, before -2.4 between the 800 and 400. While that's notionally maintaining speed, it needs to be underlined it was clearly the wettest part of the track, as he chased all the way leader HOME RULE who was both rock hard fit and a wet track lover. Last 400 was -9.5 with the last 200 in isolation a complete tank out of -6.5. Has a PB of +0.3 set at Hawkesbury over 1300 and is set to run to that and particularly if finding firmer ground.

    Subsequently: Twice unplaced and spelled. Winner first up new stable Canterbury 20/02

    Decorum
    Warwick Farm
    Feb 4, 2026

    The 1.3 length winner of Race 3

    -1.1 lengths below benchmark ranked 3rd on the day

    Summary

    First up 3rd start 2nd win and a prep to prep improvement of 3 lengths as a starting point! Cruised 2nd line going -2.0 at the 800, before +0.7 in the mid race and last bit best bit +4.1 last 400. The last 200 in isolation was +2.7 (and the 7th best of the day) so just kept getting stronger at the end of 1400 despite it being a kick off run. His PB is -1.1 set when winning at Newcastle 19/09 which was his 2nd career start. Would be no surprise if he became a quality stayer, with his capacity to relax and remain strong through the race. 

    Subsequently: Winner Warwick Farm 18/02

    Weeping Woman
    Rosehill
    Nov 8, 2025

    The 1.2 length winner of Race 9

    Benchmark ranked 9th on the day

    Summary

    Excellent return by the 5yo mare with an already solid winning strike rate, with the data strongly suggesting the best is still ahead. Just -5.3 at the 800 sharing the lead at a soft tempo, before +0.9 in the mid race and +5.8 last 400. This was the 3rd best of the day and the 2nd best of her 14 start career. This is a new level from -0.8 and a new first up best from -1.8. Can produce and cope with more early speed, and given this is just BM78 level, can continue through her grades into the summer. 

    Subsequently: Winner Kembla 15/11 Winner Randwick 13/12. Winner Randwick 14/02

    Playin'it Sweet
    Ascot
    Nov 4, 2025

    The 0.2 length winner of Race 8

    +0.8 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    Fourth run for her 2nd prep, but keeps raising the bar going from +0.2 PB two starts earlier winning here over 1200. In addition it was "first time forward" with her early speed of -1.2 at the 800 on pace, and clearly the fastest she's gone first section this time in. -2.4 in the mid race meant a small slowdown, before +6.2 last 400. That ability to relax and quicken to go with her tenacity for the fight which 5 wins from 8 starts confirm, says stepping to the mile should be in her scope.

    Subsequently: 2nd January 1 Ascot. 2nd January 17th Ascot. Winner WA Breeders Listed Bunbury Feb 1. Winner Listed Ascot Feb 15

    Paradise city
    Flemington
    Jan 10, 2026

    The 0.8 length 2nd in race 10

    +0.9 lengths above benchmark ranked 2nd on the day

    Summary

    Ready! Super elevation from just -4.7 on the quirky Caulfield Heath track, and a new PB from -1.0 from her 2nd career start Bendigo 2023. At the 800 was midfield going -0.7 spotting the leader/winner 5.5 lengths. +3.2 in the mid race before -0.7 last 400. Did lose a length over the last 200 as the chase told only 2nd up, but note ran the best last 1200 and 1000 of the day. Has tactical versatility winning twice as a leader, but has three times ran a closing 400 between +7.5 and +9.1. Caulfield BM78 staying at 1400 on January 31 from here???

    Subsequently: Winner Pakenham 23/01 and winner Flemington 14/02

    Autumn Glow
    Randwick
    Nov 1, 2025

    The 1.3 length winner of Race 8

    +4.3 lengths above benchmark ranked 2nd on the day

    Summary

    The rising superstar of Australian racing who continued her unbeaten streak in contrasting conditions in this Golden Eagle to her Epsom win when +4.9 lengths above benchmark on a good track. Here in soft conditions on the "quirky" (for this track) 1500 distance, found a "fast and legless" race shape, going +8.1 lengths above benchmark yet sitting 3rd line. -5.8 and -8.7 last two sections, but holding her line over the last two x 200 splits. She's confirmed her "swimmer" tag with a wet track indicator of +12.1 and unlike first up (+13.2) which was just 1100, did so into a middle distance range.

    Subsequently: Winner first up Randwick 14/02

About Racetrack Ralphy

After a career in mainstream media including The Footy Show, Sunday Footy Show, Triple M, the ABC and SEN, I started this service in 2012 and was then lucky enough to shortly after be paired with Vince Accardi (Daily Sectionals) at RSN. Despite being a passionate racing fan all my life including being hands-on as a strapper when a teenager, and a racing manager for a private owner that gave me privileged insights into the Bart Cummings and Lee Freedman stables, I soon learned how much I didn't know. I've since immersed myself in the study of sectional times, and now concentrate on Melbourne city racing for my "meetings" work.

In a nutshell, this is the type of information I would have wanted from a form guide back when I had a "real" job and before I started doing this

I provide a detailed race overview, surmised by a "suggested bet" reflective of my personal thoughts and confidence at time of posting Saturday morning*, (see below) a market to 100% with an assessed price for any runner $41 or below, I write a paragraph on nearly every horse, (the odd "no hoper" is given barely a line) with all analysis and opinions based on my own work and seen via the prism of Vince Accardi's IVR post meeting data reports.

Why the Italics of "at time of posting Saturday morning"?

The legendary Sydney form analyst Dominic Beirne once said "you'll quickly go broke ignoring the collective intelligence of the market". So when I post/make available for purchase early Saturday morning, I do so with the confidence that I have written up deeply researched information that has formed my opinions. However pre-race once a flood of money has cascaded into the market, "new" information has entered the equation and it shapes how I approach my personal confidence and thoughts, and particularly with "unknowns" such as a first up horse - how fit does the market expect it to be? - or a runner having his 2nd start after an easy slow time debut country win - does the market think he was capable of much more? - just two examples.

What don't I provide?

I don't tell you how you should spend your money with a staking plan. (I once did. I stopped it. My strength and this service's DNA is providing good quality deeply researched analysis.) As the old gag goes about legendary Australian businessman Kerry Packer, he was never a big punter despite betting millions because he never had his last $20 on anything. Everyone's personal circumstances and reasons for purchasing are different. I never cut corners with information provided nor intent for it to be helpful to each and every customer. From there use it how you wish and please gamble responsibly.

Swanny & Friends

After a debacle of a first season, Dane Swan is back to talk footy and irrelevant life issues. Mainly the latter.