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Detailed Runner By Runner Full Meeting Analysis

Next Meeting
COX PLATE DAY FORM
24TH October
NOW POSTED

Sizzlers Recent Winners

    Anthracite
    Rosehill
    Oct 10, 2026

    The nose winner of Race 3

    +0.8 lengths above benchmark ranked 3rd on the day

    Summary

    This horse has turned into a mini-PRIDE OF JENNI! We sizzled him two starts back when +2.0 lengths above benchmark ranked 2nd on the day over 1800, and here he's just hung on out to 2000, but after a blistering first split of +10.2 lengths above benchmark. Understandably tapered from there with -0.7 and -6.7 last two sections, and is near certain to "feel" this run. However with ideally 3-5 weeks between runs, this level can see him remain very hard to get past as he makes the chasers feel pain! There's a similar class 1850 at the Newcastle standalone day 14/11 which looks ideal.

    Subsequently: Winner Randwick 24/10

    Priory Park
    Warwick Farm
    Oct 13, 2026

    The 0.9 length 3rd in trial 6

    -0.8 lengths below benchmark ranked 4th of the session

    Summary

    Excellent trial with just one prep to date and is now gelded. -9.1 at the 800, before +3.8 and +2.5 last two sections peaking on his run late losing 0.6 of a length over the last 200. This was also seen via the 2nd best last 800, the 3rd best last 600 and 400, but the 12th best last 200 of the day. Won at Muswellbrook with -3.9 ranked 3rd of the 1st of May meeting, before starting favourite and failing Gosford. Should return at a brand new level.

    Subsequently: Winner Kembla 24/10

    Declichy Boulevard
    Randwick
    Sep 19, 2026

    The 2.2 length winner of Race 3

    -0.3 lengths below benchmark ranked 28th on the day

    Summary

    5yo mare who missed nearly a year's racing after a Group 1 placing in the Vinery autumn 2025, but resumed a winner on bog heavy ground April earlier this year, and was spelled after an Eagle Farm 5th with -1.4 lengths below benchmark. Off a short break ran 3rd in the high class Goulburn Cup when producing a new PB of +0.9 lengths above benchmark. As such this effortless win is the "sideways" run to now get to a new level. -0.3 at the 800 when stalking the lead was actually 4 lengths slower race to race. +1.2 in the mid race and +2.7 last 400 racing away. Should have more wins in store this time in.

    Subsequently: Unplaced Epsom 05/10. Winner Randwick 24/10

    Cosmic Crusader
    Ascot
    Dec 6, 2025

    The 0.2 length winner of Race 9

    +2.6 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    REPOST AFTER 2026 COX PLATE WIN

    Created a boom in bolting in Belmont 20/09 with a best of the day performance of -0.9, which he matched off a 6 week freshen here 01/11 over 1400 metres. Since then he's climbed going +1.1, +1.3 and a booming +2.6 in winning his Group 1. Perfect Johnston-Porter ride going +8.2 lengths above benchmark in the "sweet spot" 4.2 lengths from the flying leader. -0.4 in the mid race as the field slowed, before finding under full pressure with +3.1 last 400. He's now at the top of the tree in WA racing on current profiles, but his challenge this Saturday is to immediately find speed in his legs back to 1400 in the Gold Rush.

    Subsequently: 2nd Gold Rush 13/12. Spelled stable and state switch. First up Caulfield Bletchingly winner 25/07

    Cosmic Crusader
    Caulfield
    Jul 25, 2026

    The 2.5 length winner of Race 7

    +1.0 length above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    An outstanding return from the Group 1 WA winner of last carnival's Northerly over 1800 metres when producing his PB of +2.6 lengths above benchmark over Railway winner WATCH ME ROCK. Just -7.5 lengths below benchmark at the 800 when 2.7 lengths from the soft tempo leader, before he "went to work" big time. +0.5 from the 800 to 400 meaning a booming 8 length squeeze, before +1.9 last 400. The 200 increments told a tale. +1.9 from the 600 to 400, which he matched from the 400 to 200, before just +0.1 last 200. That taper strongly suggests more to come and soon! The Lawrence looks ideal next start.

    Subsequently: Winner Lawrence 15/08

    REPOST AFTER COX PLATE WIN 

    Infancy
    Beaumont
    Oct 12, 2026

    The 0.2 length 2nd in trial 2

    -8.6 lengths below benchmark ranked 28th on the day

    Summary

    The perfect tick over trial to elevate her to run to her +0.6 to +0.8 range best from here. Just -13.2 and -7.3 first two sections, but her close was slick with +0.5 last 400 with all of that over the last 200 in isolation, under a good hold. Comes off 4th in both runs this time in at Randwick and Newcastle in stakes races, and her best two IVR times were when winning and running 2nd at $51 and $19, as well as a Listed win at $26 so has a history of over-achieving when being underestimated by the market.

    Subsequently: 2nd Invitational at $71!

    Lazzura
    Rosehill
    Sep 26, 2026

    1.1 lengths above benchmark ranked 7th on the day

    +0.8 lengths above benchmark ranked 7th on the day

    Summary

    Won with a barrier trial! What a 2nd up cruise going just -4.4 lengths below benchmark stalking the lead pack at the 800, before -1.6 in the mid race, and +4.4 last 400 with J Mac along with the horse in 2nd gear. Last bit best bit +2.6 which was the 6th best last 200 of the day. Won her Group 1 here in March with an outstanding +3.9 lengths above benchmark, which she backed up when 2nd in the All Aged to BEIWACHT with +3.0. The Invitational looks next and she should take a power of beating, with possibly the Five Diamonds after???

    Subsequently: Winner Invitational Randwick 24/10

    Juja Kibu
    Randwick
    Oct 3, 2026

    The 1.7 length 2nd in Race 7

    +2.0 lengths above benchmark ranked 2nd on the day

    Summary

    3rd in last year's Metro when +1.5 lengths above benchmark, and this time won after an outstanding lead in a fortnight earlier when producing a new PB of +2.5 lengths above benchmark in a brutally run 2000 on a firm deck. This was a complete contrast with his lead speed to the 800 going just -18.1 lengths below benchmark so 20.3 lengths slower race to race albeit on a softer track. However a booming 19.4 length mid race with +1.3 from the 800 to 400 before a +6.8 last 400 close. This was the 17th best last 400 at the end of 2400 meaning a brilliant sprint. Could have another big win in him this spring!

    Subsequently: Winner Moonee Valley Cup Flemington 24/10

    Surfin' Bird
    Caulfield
    Oct 10, 2026

    The 2 length winner of Race 3

    +2.7 lengths above benchmark ranked 8th on the day

    Summary

    Lightly raced 5yo mare whose made it 6 wins from 11 starts and produced a booming new PB in the process from +0.8 here last spring carnival when bolting in over 1440. This time after -1.4 resuming at Rosehill elevated due to excellent sustained lead speed. +4.2 at the 800 stalking the leader, before pressuring her with +5.1 so a brilliant +9.3 lengths above benchmark combined first two sections. Tapered with +0.2 last 400 losing 1.4 lengths over the last 200 in isolation. That strongly suggests potential for a further elevation. Like many if she goes to the Empire Rose will hope PRIDE OF JENNI doesn't!

    Subsequently: Winner Flemington 24/10

    Smooth Chino
    Flemington
    Oct 3, 2026

    The nose 2nd in Race 9

    +1.2 lengths above benchmark ranked 3rd on the day 

    Summary

    High class WA sprinter who could still have his best in front of him, and this "just missed" Eastern seaboard performance now says that wet ground is no issue. -3.6 at the 800 when 3.4 lengths from the lead, before -0.1 and -4.1 last 400. Did lose 2.6 lengths over the last 200, and improved overall by 2.6 lengths race to race from SA first up, saying "peak to come". Has an Ascot PB of +2.2 over 1100 and won a feature at Northam with +1.4. The McEwan back here Cox Plate Day looks ideal and is a long range big odds chance in the Champions Sprint to consider.

    Subsequently: Winner Flemington 24/10

    Revolina
    Rosehill
    Sep 22, 2026

    The nose 2nd in trial 10

    -0.6 lengths below benchmark ranked 2nd of the morning

    Summary

    Unraced filly in her 2nd prep having trialled twice May/June, and she's set to take a power of beating on debut, noting she was 2nd best overall on a day with multiple stakes runners. -6.2 stalking the lead, before -0.4 in the midrace and a excellent +5.1 last 400. The sustained quality was seen via the best last 800 of the session, after her lead in trial here a fortnight earlier when dashing home with the best last 200 of the morning with a blistering +4.5 close.

    Subsequently: Winner Hawkesbury 08/10 Winner Brian Crowley Randwick 24/10

    Stokke
    Flemington
    Nov 6, 2025

    The 0.3 length winner of race 9

    +1.3 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    1000 metre races = 1000 metre horses! This mare brought up her 5th win from 9 starts this trip, and her best IVR figure to date thanks to a perfect Damian Lane ride. -3.0 at the 800, before +1.7 mid race and +4.2 last 400 which was the biggest last 400 sprint of her career and the 7th best of the day. Staying in short course sprints she'll remain very hard to catch!

    Subsequently: Spelled missing 275 days racing. 4th up winner Flemington 24/10

About Racetrack Ralphy

After a career in mainstream media including The Footy Show, Sunday Footy Show, Triple M, the ABC and SEN, I started this service in 2012 and was then lucky enough to shortly after be paired with Vince Accardi (Daily Sectionals) at RSN. Despite being a passionate racing fan all my life including being hands-on as a strapper when a teenager, and a racing manager for a private owner that gave me privileged insights into the Bart Cummings and Lee Freedman stables, I soon learned how much I didn't know. I've since immersed myself in the study of sectional times, and now concentrate on Melbourne city racing for my "meetings" work.

In a nutshell, this is the type of information I would have wanted from a form guide back when I had a "real" job and before I started doing this

I provide a detailed race overview, surmised by a "suggested bet" reflective of my personal thoughts and confidence at time of posting Saturday morning*, (see below) a market to 100% with an assessed price for any runner $41 or below, I write a paragraph on nearly every horse, (the odd "no hoper" is given barely a line) with all analysis and opinions based on my own work and seen via the prism of Vince Accardi's IVR post meeting data reports.

Why the Italics of "at time of posting Saturday morning"?

The legendary Sydney form analyst Dominic Beirne once said "you'll quickly go broke ignoring the collective intelligence of the market". So when I post/make available for purchase early Saturday morning, I do so with the confidence that I have written up deeply researched information that has formed my opinions. However pre-race once a flood of money has cascaded into the market, "new" information has entered the equation and it shapes how I approach my personal confidence and thoughts, and particularly with "unknowns" such as a first up horse - how fit does the market expect it to be? - or a runner having his 2nd start after an easy slow time debut country win - does the market think he was capable of much more? - just two examples.

What don't I provide?

I don't tell you how you should spend your money with a staking plan. (I once did. I stopped it. My strength and this service's DNA is providing good quality deeply researched analysis.) As the old gag goes about legendary Australian businessman Kerry Packer, he was never a big punter despite betting millions because he never had his last $20 on anything. Everyone's personal circumstances and reasons for purchasing are different. I never cut corners with information provided nor intent for it to be helpful to each and every customer. From there use it how you wish and please gamble responsibly.

Swanny & Friends

After a debacle of a first season, Dane Swan is back to talk footy and irrelevant life issues. Mainly the latter.