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Detailed Runner By Runner Full Meeting Analysis

Next Meeting
Caulfield
29th August
NOW POSTED

Sizzlers Recent Winners

    Guest House
    Cranbourne
    Dec 27, 2025

    The 0.8 length winner of Race 4

    -0.5 lengths below benchmark ranked 3rd on the day

    Summary

    Nice horse! Excellent debut with the immediate filter to say he's a serious player in 2yo features going forward given not only a top 10 performance, but in this case the 3rd best of a Saturday city card. Stalked the lead going -1.2 at the 800, before +2.9 in the mid race, and -0.1 last 400. Lost 0.4 of a length last 200 in isolation, and the best last 800 of the day, but just the 31st best last 200 strongly suggests there's more to come. We look forward to tracking his progress.

    Subsequently: 2nd Blue Diamond Prelude 07/02, then 3rd Blue Diamond 21/02 before winner Golden Slipper.

    REPOST AFTER FIRST UP ROSEHILL WIN 29/08

    Mr Miller
    Randwick
    Aug 14, 2026

    The 1.8 length 4th in trial 4

    -2.1 lengths below benchmark ranked 7th of the session

    Summary

    Lightly raced 4yo with the best in front of him, and this "dash home" trial in the strongest heat of the morning, says he's ready to go to the races and win first up. -12.4 at the 800 when 4.3 lengths from the lead. Closed with +0.3 and +3.8 with the last 200 a super slick +3.0 lengths above benchmark. His current PB is -0.1 when a luckless 2nd at Gosford on their standalone day, and this performance says he's set to sail past that figure this time in.

    Subsequently: Winner Warwick Farm 19/08 winner Randwick 29/08

    Beiwacht
    Rosehill
    Sep 27, 2025

    The 4.1 length winner of Race 8

    +4.4 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    Wow! Exploded in this PB to not only a new PB from -0.5, but to a level that has him top of the tree with this 3yo crop, and a potential Everest contender should the stable go there. +4.2 at the 800, before +3.6 in the mid race which is blistering sustained speed. +1.7 last 400 was reflective of the perfect firm ground, but also underlined the performance as he stayed above benchmark in all three sections. He is now at the elite level wherever they go, and however long he keeps racing given his multi million dollar stallion potential. 

    REPOST AFTER MEMSIE GROUP 1 WIN CAULFIELD 29/08

    Beiwacht
    Randwick
    Apr 18, 2026

    The 0.9 length winner of Race 8

    +3.9 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    Outstanding colt who again showed his high class "wheelhouse" is 1400 metres on clean ground, with this all the way performance in similar "rare air" to his +4.4 when winning the Golden Rose in the spring at Rosehill. That day was +4.2 lengths above benchmark at the 800 with blistering explosive early speed, while here with Nash Rawiller riding a masterful race led going +0.7, before +1.3 and +4.2 in the last two sections. It effectively made him impossible to catch under this race shape bar a genuine freak performance which obviously there wasn't. This ability to harness his speed says a mile and further is possible. 

    Subsequently: First up winner Memsie 29/08

    Althoff
    Rosehill
    Aug 15, 2026

    The 2.1 length winner in Race 9

    +1.2 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    We sizzled him from his excellent return a fortnight earlier when crushing the line with the 2nd best last 400 and best last 200 of the day in producing -2.9 lengths below benchmark ranked 19th on the day, and here he's smashed the competition and his benchmark PB in the process. -1.3 at the 800 when 3.8 lengths from the lead, before -2.4 in the mid race and a booming last bit best bit - again! - +4.6 last 400. The last 200 in isolation was +3.1. Won 3rd and 4th up last prep, and he's still on the rise. Returning here over 1500 in a fortnight or a Randwick mile 05/09 both look ideal options.

    Subsequently: Winner Rosehill 29/08

    Mr Miller
    Warwick Farm
    Aug 19, 2026

    The 2.4 length winner of Race 5

    -2.4 lengths below benchmark ranked 10th on the day

    Summary

    Lightly raced 4yo on the rise who has resumed off excellent trials with an effortless win with the promise of more to come. +0.3 at the 800 was good speed when 2.7 lengths from the lead, but then lost 2.9 lengths in a mid race slowdown going -2.6 lengths below benchmark. Last 400 was +1.8, but note it was all over the last 200 when "slipping" clear with +2.1 which was the 8th best of the day at the end of 1400 metres. Was narrowly beaten at the Gosford standalone day 09/05 with -0.1 lengths below benchmark 3rd up/1st prep over a mile, and this says there's much more to come this time in.

    Subsequently: Winner Rosehill 29/08

    Custom
    Caulfield
    Jul 25, 2026

    The 3 length winner of Race 1

    -1.3 lengths above benchmark ranked 6th on the day

    Summary

    Evolving filly who has produced glimpses of talent without putting it fully together, but this new PB 2nd up with a dominant win says the best should still be ahead. -4.5 lengths below benchmark at the 800 had her 3.8 lengths from the lead, before -2.0 and +3.0 last two sections. Context was the 3rd best last 400 and 200 of the day, after the 2nd best last 400 and 200 of the day first up, but off a significantly softer first 800 metres. Looks dangerous in an early season mares stakes race with a fitness edge, and soft track capacity. Maybe a Courtza this track/distance late August???

    Subsequently: Unplaced Caulfield Heath 08/08 then winner Courtza Stakes Caulfield 29/08 at $8!

    Saint George
    Flemington
    Jul 18, 2026

    The 1.2 length winner of Race 8

    Benchmark ranked 4th on the day

    Summary

    We sizzled him from 4 weeks earlier when -3.5 lengths below benchmark ranked 8th of the day first up over a mile, and here elevated big time to his best Australian IVR performance. -4.5 at the 800 had him 8.7 lengths from the lead, before +4.2 from the 800 to 400 which meant a booming 8.7 length squeeze. Last 400 was -3.4 and actually losing 1.4 lengths over the last 200 in isolation. This is an import in his 3rd local prep and everything points that despite being an established 6yo, his best is still in front of him. That's scary at this time of year!

    Subsequently: Winner Caulfield 29/08

    Gringotts
    Warwick Farm
    Aug 4, 2026

    The 3.1 length winner of Trial 1

    -3.1 lengths below benchmark ranked 10th on the day

    Summary

    7yo who has won over $6million prizemoney to date, and he's set to add to that big time and shortly as this trial - to go with a hard closing 2nd on very wet ground under a big hold at Gosford 22/07 - screams he's coming to play when he steps out first up. -1.9, -1.8 and -0.5 over the three sections, but it was 200 increments which told a big tale. -0.5, -2.3 and +1.6 last 3 sections meant he's had a 1.8 length slowdown from the 400 to 200, before a blistering 3.9 length pick up over the last 200 metres. This was also seen via the 69th best last 400, but the 23rd best last 200 of the session smashing stakes horses. Stand by!

    Subsequently: First up 3rd to AUTUMN GLOW and SHEZA ALIBI Winx Stakes Randwick 21/08

    Just Party
    Rosehill
    Aug 7, 2026

    The 0.2 length winner of trial 9

    -2.8 lengths below benchmark ranked 2nd of the session

    Summary

    Now 5yo with top 5 finishes in his last 8 runs, but without a victory since October 2024 means he's had a hard-earned "non-winner" tag, but this blistering trial says he's in for a super prep. -7.3 at the 800 stalking the lead, before a booming 8.7 length midrace going +1.3 from the 800 to 400. Importantly he sustained it closing with +3.2 last 400, and it included a one length slowdown from the 400 to 200. Further clarity is seen via the 2nd best last 800, best last 600 and 2nd best last 400 of the very strong session. The stable are specialists with first up runners and he deserves great respect when coming to the races.

    Subsequently: Winner Goulburn Cup at $14! 

    Matcha Latte
    Rosehill
    Aug 7, 2026

    The 1.2 length winner of Trial 1

    -4.0 lengths below benchmark ranked 8th on the session

    Summary

    7yo who switched stables last prep, but continued his good quality performances in the provincial series winning at Hawkesbury before running 3rd in the $1million Randwick final which he won in 2025, and this trial says he's on point for another solid prep. What needs to be underlined is the race simulation pace early stalking the lead going -1.2 and +1.9 in the first two sections in a "real" 1000 metre trial. Tapered late despite winning with just -5.7 last 400 with -3.8 of that the last 200 in isolation. His two previous resuming runs have been -0.8 twice with goals ahead. This says he is race ready if targeting first up.

    Subsequently: Group 3 0.5 length 3rd Show County at $8:50

    Autumn Glow
    Rosehill
    Mar 21, 2026

    The 2.8 length winner of Race 7

    +3.6 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    The rock star of Australian racing making it 11 from 11. Despite it being a Group 1 domination the data strongly suggests the performance was smothered and could have been better! +0.2 at the 800 was good speed, but 4.7 lengths from the leader who was overdoing it. -2.5 from the 800 to 400 was a significant 2.7 length slowdown and that was all between the 800 and 600. Last 400 was +1.7, but she lost 1.2 lengths of speed over the last 200 with the race won. Her current PB is +4.9 when winning the Epsom - which also had a slowdown - and she could sail past that from here. 2000 looks no issue.

    Subsequently: 3rd Randwick 11/04 and spelled. First up Winx winner 22/08

About Racetrack Ralphy

After a career in mainstream media including The Footy Show, Sunday Footy Show, Triple M, the ABC and SEN, I started this service in 2012 and was then lucky enough to shortly after be paired with Vince Accardi (Daily Sectionals) at RSN. Despite being a passionate racing fan all my life including being hands-on as a strapper when a teenager, and a racing manager for a private owner that gave me privileged insights into the Bart Cummings and Lee Freedman stables, I soon learned how much I didn't know. I've since immersed myself in the study of sectional times, and now concentrate on Melbourne city racing for my "meetings" work.

In a nutshell, this is the type of information I would have wanted from a form guide back when I had a "real" job and before I started doing this

I provide a detailed race overview, surmised by a "suggested bet" reflective of my personal thoughts and confidence at time of posting Saturday morning*, (see below) a market to 100% with an assessed price for any runner $41 or below, I write a paragraph on nearly every horse, (the odd "no hoper" is given barely a line) with all analysis and opinions based on my own work and seen via the prism of Vince Accardi's IVR post meeting data reports.

Why the Italics of "at time of posting Saturday morning"?

The legendary Sydney form analyst Dominic Beirne once said "you'll quickly go broke ignoring the collective intelligence of the market". So when I post/make available for purchase early Saturday morning, I do so with the confidence that I have written up deeply researched information that has formed my opinions. However pre-race once a flood of money has cascaded into the market, "new" information has entered the equation and it shapes how I approach my personal confidence and thoughts, and particularly with "unknowns" such as a first up horse - how fit does the market expect it to be? - or a runner having his 2nd start after an easy slow time debut country win - does the market think he was capable of much more? - just two examples.

What don't I provide?

I don't tell you how you should spend your money with a staking plan. (I once did. I stopped it. My strength and this service's DNA is providing good quality deeply researched analysis.) As the old gag goes about legendary Australian businessman Kerry Packer, he was never a big punter despite betting millions because he never had his last $20 on anything. Everyone's personal circumstances and reasons for purchasing are different. I never cut corners with information provided nor intent for it to be helpful to each and every customer. From there use it how you wish and please gamble responsibly.

Swanny & Friends

After a debacle of a first season, Dane Swan is back to talk footy and irrelevant life issues. Mainly the latter.