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Detailed Runner By Runner Full Meeting Analysis

Next Meeting
Turnbull Stakes form with wet track comments
3rd October
NOW POSTED

Sizzlers Recent Winners

    Tempted
    Randwick
    Sep 5, 2026

    The 0.4 length winner of Race 8

    +4.8 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    Superstar filly now mare who obliterated her previous 1st up runs of -2.0, +1.1 and +1.9, but also her +4.1 all time PB of +4.1 lengths when 2nd to KA YING RISING before +4.6 at her last run before spelling in the autumn here over 1200 metres 11/04. Settled 3 lengths from the lead going -1.7 lengths below benchmark at the 800, before +1.7 in the mid race and an outstanding +7.9 last 400 including +4.7 last 200. Further confirmation via the 3rd best last 800, 600 and 200 of the day. Her profile states she's better at 1200, so getting towards "freaky" +6 to +8 range says she's on target to be the best Australian sprinter.

    Subsequently: Winner Randwick 03/10

    Stylish
    Flemington
    Jun 6, 2026

    The 1.5 length 2nd in Race 5

    -5.7 lengths below benchmark ranked 40th on the day

    Summary

    Fitter and firmer and look out! Despite the modest IVR time, produced the perfect "loom and fade" run in a "no tempo" race after 154 days away. Just -16.7 lengths below benchmark at the 800 stalking the lead pack, before -6.6 in the mid race and -0.5 last 400. However lost 2.2 lengths over the last 200 which we put down to conditioning and particularly in the sapping conditions. This was also seen via the 3rd best last 600 and 400 of the day, but just the 12th best last 200. She's a "just below benchmark" mare and that wins city races through the winter, but getting away from heavy ground would be ideal.

    Subsequently: Winner Flemington 20/06. Repost after win Flemington 03/10 back on wet ground

    Cosmic Crusader
    Caulfield
    Aug 15, 2026

    The 0.7 length winner of Race 7

    +0.8 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    WA star now with two Melbourne starts for two best of the day Caulfield wins, here stepping from 1200 to 1400 and the data screams there's more to come given both runs were in soft tempo race shapes. At the 800 was 6 lengths from the lead going -9.0 lengths below benchmark, before -0.5 in the mid race and +2.2 last 400. For added context he closed with the 6th best last 600 and the 3rd best last 400 of the day. This is the perfect platform to run right up to his best from here which is currently in the +2.4 to +2.6 range. At this stage he'll need as a starting point as the Memsie looks very strong. 

    Subsequently: 3rd Memsie, 2nd Underwood then winner Turnbull

    Cosmic Crusader
    Ascot
    Dec 6, 2025

    The 0.2 length winner of Race 9

    +2.6 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    REPOST AFTER TURNBULL STAKES WIN 05/10

    Created a boom in bolting in Belmont 20/09 with a best of the day performance of -0.9, which he matched off a 6 week freshen here 01/11 over 1400 metres. Since then he's climbed going +1.1, +1.3 and a booming +2.6 in winning his Group 1. Perfect Johnston-Porter ride going +8.2 lengths above benchmark in the "sweet spot" 4.2 lengths from the flying leader. -0.4 in the mid race as the field slowed, before finding under full pressure with +3.1 last 400. He's now at the top of the tree in WA racing on current profiles, but his challenge this Saturday is to immediately find speed in his legs back to 1400 in the Gold Rush.

    Subsequently: 2nd Gold Rush 13/12. Spelled stable and state switch. First up Caulfield Bletchingly winner 25/07

    Juja Kibo
    Randwick
    Sep 19, 2026

    The 0.8 length 2nd in Race 6

    +2.5 lengths above benchmark ranked 7th on the day

    Summary

    This import in his 3rd local prep and dead set airborne! Was placed in last year's Metrop with a previous PB of +1.5 lengths above benchmark, so here has smashed that and over 2000 metres in a sustained high pressure race shape on very firm ground 2nd up. Settled 2.6 lengths from the lead, and his 3 sections were +2.2, +1.8 and +2.9, showing excellent tenacity sticking at his task. Has showed he can produce a very solid mid race off a softer tempo and wet ground is no issue. Looks a key player in staying races over the next 6 weeks. 

    Subsequently: Winner Metropolitan Randwick 03/10

    The Next Episode
    Randwick
    Apr 4, 2026

    The 0.2 length 2nd in Race 1

    -0.9 lengths below benchmark ranked 16th on the day

    Summary

    REPOST AFTER FIRST UP DANEHILL WIN 03/10

    This is a quality colt! Resumed with a win at Warwick Farm when out of traffic late with -2.6 lengths below benchmark, so here has improved 1.7 lengths despite missing the start. Just -8.5 at the 800 had him 3.8 lengths from the lead. +0.7 in the mid race meant a super strong 9.2 length squeeze and he sustained it home with +2.5 last 400. The context which really impressed - even allowing for the first use of the track - was the best last 800 and 600 and 2nd best last 400 of a multiple Group 1 iconic day from a 2yo. More to come! 

    Subsequently: Winner Eagle Farm 02/05. Winner Gold Coast 23/05

    Changing Colours
    Caulfield Heath
    Aug 8, 2026

    The 1.5 length winner of Race 9

    -2.0 lengths below benchmark ranked 9th on the day

    Summary

    Another win and another bludge! Airborne for the new stable and the data screams they haven't got to the bottom of her given she's had two slow tempo/dash home race shapes 1st and 2nd up. Won at Flemington with the best last 600, 400 and 200 of the day, and here from the inside barrier Blake Shinn was concentrating on easing and hooking wide at the top of the straight for clean air. So -6.8 when 3.2 lengths from the lead at the 800, before -1.3 in the mid race was a "cruise" before +2.3 last 400, but the last 200 in isolation +2.8. That was the 3rd best of the day at the end of 1500. This distance again at Sandown next?

    Subsequently: Winner Sandown 09/09. Winner Caulfield 27/09

    Pride of Jenni
    Moonee Valley
    Sep 26, 2025

    The 1.8 length winner of Race 6

    +2.6 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the night

    Summary

    REPOST AFTER WINNING THIS RACE AGAIN THIS TIME FIRST UP AT CAULFIELD 27/09/26

    The champ is back! First up after 125 days away, back to her "Wheelhouse" of owning a mile race, and uniquely she's won running only a moderate early split, but with a genuine mid race burst of acceleration. +0.6 at the 800 is up to 10 lengths slower than her usual freak lead speed, before +6.9 from the 800 to 400. The context of that is it's the fastest mid race move of her career! Tapered with -1.1 last 400, but this included a 2.6 length slowdown from the 400 to 200. Whether her +5.5 from this race last year is behind her is an unknown given her bleed at the end of the carnival, but she's clearly in very good order again!

    Subsequently: Unplaced King Charles Randwick 18/10 before winning Empire Rose Flemington 01/11

    Jimmysstar
    Warwick Farm
    Aug 18, 2026

    The 0.3 length 3rd in trial 1

    -7.2 lengths below benchmark ranked 35th of the morning. 

    Summary

    In a nutshell: On point for the Memsie! Eased to the rear on jumping in the 822 metre trial settling 5.4 lengths from the lead, going -11.1 lengths below benchmark at the 800, moving to -3.1 in the mid race, before slipping home with +3.6 last 400. The context was the 6th best last 600, but the best last 400 and 200 of the morning under a good hold. His previous trial a fortnight earlier saw him move from the 43rd best last 400 to the 2nd best last 200 of the session, so his turn of foot is on point and the Maher stable have him humming again reflecting at this stage on his outstanding 2025 spring.

    Subsequently: Unplaced Memsie 29/08 then winner Manikato 27/09

    Jimmysstar
    Warwick Farm
    Aug 4, 2026

    The 0.4 length 2nd in trial 3

    -3.1 length 2nd in Trial 3

    Summary

    What a trial from "Big Jimmy" off a "bare minimum" 3 month spell post his narrow defeat in the Doomben 10,000, and it says regardless of the competition, he'll be coming to play when he resumes in the Memsie. (Target at time of posting.) The last two sections in this 900 metre trial were -4.6 and +1.3 last 400, but it was the last 200 in isolation that was blistering. -2.8 from the 400 to 200, before +3.9 last 200. That wasn't just the 2nd best last 200 of the session, but a near 7 length pick up of speed. He wasn't right first up last prep at Caulfield. This says he's absolutely in super order, and his usual first up profile is outstanding. 

    Subsequently: unplaced Memsie 29/08 then winner Manikato 27/09

    Decorum
    Randwick
    Aug 28, 2026

    The 2.5 length 4th in trial 3

    -5.7 lengths below benchmark ranked 61st of the session

    Summary

    Lightly raced NOTE NOW GELDED 4yo with his best in front of him, and this trial was all about a late "explosion" that has him on point for his return. -10.9 and -5.7 first two sections, and -2.4, -2.5 in the 200 increments from the 600 to 200, but +3.0 last 200 was blistering meaning a 5.5 length turn of foot. That's super! He bumped into subsequent Group 1 winner ATTICA on debut last September when -4.1 lengths below benchmark, and he returned February with a -1.1 win at Warwick Farm ranked 3rd on the day. A continuation of that trendline would see him taking beating when first up placed right.

    Subsequently: Winner Randwick 05/09 and Winner Rosehill 26/09

    Decorum
    Randwick
    Sep 5, 2026

    The 2 length winner of Race 5

    +0.5 lengths above benchmark ranked 12th on the day

    Summary

    We stamped him at the trials leading in, and he came to play big time in his first run as a gelding producing a new PB from first up last prep when -1.1 lengths below benchmark winner at Warwick Farm. Here settled 4.8 lengths from the lead at the 800, before +0.1 in the mid race and +4.7 last 400. Really let down with last bit best bit +3.7 last 200 in isolation which was the 8th best of the day. Excellent 7 length ground made up figure, and his profile says he'll be better over 1400/mile range. Looks set for more wins off this BM78.

    Subsequently: Winner Rosehill 26/09

About Racetrack Ralphy

After a career in mainstream media including The Footy Show, Sunday Footy Show, Triple M, the ABC and SEN, I started this service in 2012 and was then lucky enough to shortly after be paired with Vince Accardi (Daily Sectionals) at RSN. Despite being a passionate racing fan all my life including being hands-on as a strapper when a teenager, and a racing manager for a private owner that gave me privileged insights into the Bart Cummings and Lee Freedman stables, I soon learned how much I didn't know. I've since immersed myself in the study of sectional times, and now concentrate on Melbourne city racing for my "meetings" work.

In a nutshell, this is the type of information I would have wanted from a form guide back when I had a "real" job and before I started doing this

I provide a detailed race overview, surmised by a "suggested bet" reflective of my personal thoughts and confidence at time of posting Saturday morning*, (see below) a market to 100% with an assessed price for any runner $41 or below, I write a paragraph on nearly every horse, (the odd "no hoper" is given barely a line) with all analysis and opinions based on my own work and seen via the prism of Vince Accardi's IVR post meeting data reports.

Why the Italics of "at time of posting Saturday morning"?

The legendary Sydney form analyst Dominic Beirne once said "you'll quickly go broke ignoring the collective intelligence of the market". So when I post/make available for purchase early Saturday morning, I do so with the confidence that I have written up deeply researched information that has formed my opinions. However pre-race once a flood of money has cascaded into the market, "new" information has entered the equation and it shapes how I approach my personal confidence and thoughts, and particularly with "unknowns" such as a first up horse - how fit does the market expect it to be? - or a runner having his 2nd start after an easy slow time debut country win - does the market think he was capable of much more? - just two examples.

What don't I provide?

I don't tell you how you should spend your money with a staking plan. (I once did. I stopped it. My strength and this service's DNA is providing good quality deeply researched analysis.) As the old gag goes about legendary Australian businessman Kerry Packer, he was never a big punter despite betting millions because he never had his last $20 on anything. Everyone's personal circumstances and reasons for purchasing are different. I never cut corners with information provided nor intent for it to be helpful to each and every customer. From there use it how you wish and please gamble responsibly.

Swanny & Friends

After a debacle of a first season, Dane Swan is back to talk footy and irrelevant life issues. Mainly the latter.